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Prediction for CME (2017-09-06T12:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-09-06T12:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/13013/-1
CME Note: Associated with X9.3 flare from AR 12673.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-07T22:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 8.0
Dst min. in nT: -142
Dst min. time: 2017-09-08T02:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-09-08T13:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 90.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 7.0
Prediction Method: Other (NSSC SEPC)
Prediction Method Note: 
Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-09-08T13:00Z,(-7,+7)h
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 90.0% 
MAX solar wind speed : (620,797)km/s
MAX density : 11cm-3
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5 - 7
Prediction Method: Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS) 

Characteristics parameters of CME on Sep 6 for propagation:
propagation velocity (km/s): 1190 km/s
Longitude (deg): W13
Latitude (deg): S18
Angular width (deg): 107
Information of related flare:
YYYYMMDD HHMM  MAX  END LAT LON   IB
20170906 1153 1202 1210 S09 W37 X9.3

respect to characteristics parameters of CME on Sep 4 for propagation:
propagation velocity (km/s): 1250 km/s
Longitude (deg): W04
Latitude (deg): S13
Angular width (deg): 63
Information of related flare:
YYYYMMDD HHMM  MAX  END LAT LON   IB
20170904 2028 2033 2037 S08 W16 M5.5
Lead Time: 14.08 hour(s)
Difference: -14.50 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Jingjing Wang (NSSC SEPC) on 2017-09-07T08:25Z
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